AAII Sentiment Survey: Neutral Sentiment Stays Above Average For Seventh Week

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Neutral sentiment declined but still extended its streak of above-average readings successful nan latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Bullish sentiment besides decreased, while bearish sentiment rose.

Bullish sentiment, expectations that banal prices will emergence complete nan adjacent six months, pulled back by 3.4 percent points to 34.1%. Optimism is backmost beneath its humanities mean of 37.5% aft being astatine nan mean past week for nan first clip successful 58 weeks.

Neutral sentiment, expectations that banal prices will enactment fundamentally unchanged complete nan adjacent six months, declined 0.4 percent points to 37.1%. Neutral sentiment is supra its humanities mean of 31.5% for nan seventh consecutive week. This is nan longest streak of above-average neutral sentiment since a seven-week agelong successful December 2021 and January 2022.

Bearish sentiment, expectations that banal prices will autumn complete nan adjacent six months, rebounded 3.8 percent points to 28.8%. Pessimism is beneath its humanities mean of 31.0% for conscionable nan 5th clip retired of nan past 65 weeks. Bearish sentiment is besides beneath mean connected consecutive weeks for nan first clip since a five-week agelong successful October and November 2021.

The bull-bear dispersed (bullish minus bearish sentiment) is 5.3%. This is nan first clip optimism has exceeded pessimism connected consecutive weeks since November 2021.

This year’s rebound successful banal prices on pinch little fierce monetary argumentation are apt contributing to nan improved level of optimism. Nonetheless, concerns astir nan economy, ostentation and firm net remain.

This week’s AAII Sentiment Survey results:

  • Bullish: 34.1%, down 3.4 percent points
  • Neutral: 37.1%, down 0.4 percent points
  • Bearish: 28.8%, up 3.8 percent points

Historical averages:

  • Bullish: 37.5%
  • Neutral: 31.5%
  • Bearish: 31.0%

The AAII Sentiment Survey has been conducted play since July 1987. The study and its results are disposable online.

This article was written by

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Charles Rotblut, CFA is nan editor of nan AAII Journal, nan flagship publication of The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII). Charles provides some penetration astir individual investor sentiment and marketplace analysis. He is besides nan writer of "Better Good than Lucky: How Savvy Investors Create Fortune pinch nan Risk-Reward Ratio" (W&A Publishing/Trader's Press).

Disclosure: I/we person nary stock, action aliases akin derivative position successful immoderate of nan companies mentioned, and nary plans to initiate immoderate specified positions wrong nan adjacent 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my ain opinions. I americium not receiving compensation for it. I person nary business narration pinch immoderate institution whose banal is mentioned successful this article.

Editor: Naga

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